Closing Bell 28th August: Nvidia’s AI Dreams Hit a Speed Bump

What's Affecting Markets Today

Early Nvidia Backers Reevaluate Investments Amid Uncertainty

Some of Nvidia’s earliest Australian investors, including Munro Partners, are reducing their stakes in the company as they anticipate lower returns amidst skepticism over its ability to sustain its lofty valuation of $US3.1 trillion. Munro slashed its holding by a third, citing the need to adjust ahead of the company’s second-quarter earnings and the upcoming launch of the Blackwell chip, expected to boost future earnings. However, Nvidia’s recent revenue forecast miss and manufacturing challenges with Blackwell have raised concerns, prompting further reevaluation among fund managers and impacting semiconductor stocks globally.

MinRes Faces High-Stakes Challenge Amid Market Downturn

Mineral Resources (MinRes) is navigating a perilous path with a $5 billion debt load amid falling lithium prices and a softening iron ore market. CEO Chris Ellison has adopted a strategy focused on aggressive cost-cutting while maintaining a commitment to employees and avoiding asset sales. The company’s unique position in Australia’s resources sector, compounded by challenges from a slowing Chinese market, has made it one of the most volatile large-cap stocks. Despite the steep challenges, Ellison is confident in MinRes’ ability to emerge stronger, though the company’s future remains heavily dependent on a recovery in commodity prices.

Kmart Shines as Wesfarmers’ Profit Engine Amid Economic Headwinds

Kmart has emerged as the star performer for Wesfarmers, driving a 3.7% increase in net profit to $2.6 billion for the year, despite challenges in the energy, chemicals, and mining sectors. The discount retailer, part of Wesfarmers’ broader portfolio, saw significant sales and earnings growth as consumers sought cheaper products amidst rising living costs. Kmart’s success, particularly with its Anko product range, offset weaker performances in other divisions. However, Wesfarmers faces ongoing pressures from inflation and supply chain costs, with CEO Rob Scott warning of continued challenges in the coming year despite the company’s strong retail performance.

ASX Stocks

ASX 200 - 8,046 (-0.3%)

Key Highlights:

On Thursday, the ASX fell in early afternoon trading, mirroring a weak performance on Wall Street and a significant drop in Nvidia’s stock, which plunged nearly 9% after issuing a disappointing third-quarter guidance. The S&P/ASX 200 Index slipped 0.3%, or 23.5 points, to 8047.9, retreating from a record high earlier this month. While financials and industrials were the only sectors in positive territory, the broader market experienced a sell-off, led by consumer-related stocks.

Wesfarmers dropped 3.4% despite reporting higher profits and dividends for 2024. Online retailer Cettire saw a sharp 20% decline after missing profit expectations. Mineral Resources fell nearly 9% after skipping a final dividend due to soft lithium prices, weighing down the resources sector alongside declines in BHP and Rio Tinto.

In contrast, IGO rose 1.7% despite halving its dividends, and South32 reversed earlier losses, gaining 0.8%. Qantas shares were down 0.2%, facing a challenging year ahead with ongoing ACCC investigations and reputation management. Among other notable moves, Tabcorp extended its losses, Perpetual slumped 3.8%, and Atlas Arteria shed 1.8%. However, Bega Group surged nearly 10% after returning to profitability, and IDP Education jumped 2.3% on record revenue.

Leaders

WBT – Weebit Nano Ltd (+14.69%)
CUV – Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals Ltd (+10.79%)
ACL – Australian Clinical Labs Ltd (+10.34%)
BGA – Bega Cheese Ltd (+9.39%)
EBR – EBR Systems Inc (+7.66%)

Laggards

CTT – Cettire Ltd (-16.92%)
SLX – SILEX Systems Ltd (-12.61%)
RED – RED 5 Ltd (-10.96%)
HGH – Heartland Group Holdings Ltd (-10.65%)
BMN – Bannerman Energy Ltd (-10.00%)

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Author

Kai Chen
Kai Chen
Kai is a seasoned finance professional with a quantitative background, uses his broad market experience to provide insightful analysis on the markets, helping investors navigate the complexities of stock trading.

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